Fuel System:
* Mass Airflow Sensor (MAF) Sensor: A dirty or faulty MAF sensor provides inaccurate air readings to the computer, leading to incorrect fuel delivery. This is a very common cause of surging and rough idle. Cleaning it (carefully, following instructions) is often a first step.
* Throttle Position Sensor (TPS): A malfunctioning TPS provides inaccurate throttle position information to the engine computer, resulting in erratic fuel delivery.
* Fuel injectors: Clogged or failing fuel injectors can cause inconsistent fuel spray, leading to rough running and surging.
* Fuel pressure regulator: A failing fuel pressure regulator can deliver either too much or too little fuel pressure.
* Fuel pump: A weak fuel pump might not provide enough fuel under load, causing surging.
* Vacuum leaks: Leaks in vacuum hoses can disrupt the air/fuel mixture, causing erratic idle and surging. Check all vacuum lines for cracks, holes, or loose connections, paying close attention to the brake booster hose.
Ignition System:
* Ignition coil: A failing ignition coil can cause misfires, resulting in a rough idle and potential surging.
* Spark plugs and wires: Worn-out spark plugs and wires can lead to misfires and poor combustion. These are relatively inexpensive to replace and should be considered a routine maintenance item.
* Distributor cap and rotor (if applicable): Cracks or corrosion in the distributor cap and rotor can interrupt the spark, causing misfires. (The Aerostar's engine might or might not have a distributor, depending on the engine configuration - check your engine bay).
* Crankshaft Position Sensor (CKP): This sensor tells the computer the engine's rotational speed. A faulty CKP sensor can cause all sorts of running problems, including rough idle and surging.
Other Potential Causes:
* PCV valve: A clogged Positive Crankcase Ventilation valve can build up pressure in the crankcase, affecting the air/fuel mixture.
* EGR valve: A faulty Exhaust Gas Recirculation valve can disrupt the combustion process.
* Oxygen sensor: While less likely to directly cause surging, a faulty oxygen sensor can contribute to a rich or lean condition, which may indirectly lead to rough running.
* Idle Air Control (IAC) valve: This valve regulates air flow at idle. A dirty or faulty IAC valve can cause idle problems.
Troubleshooting Steps:
1. Check for obvious vacuum leaks: Visually inspect all vacuum hoses for cracks or loose connections.
2. Inspect spark plugs and wires: Look for signs of wear, fouling, or damage.
3. Clean the MAF sensor: Use MAF sensor cleaner and follow the instructions carefully.
4. Check the engine codes: Use an OBD-II scanner to retrieve any diagnostic trouble codes (DTCs) stored by the engine computer. This can give you valuable clues.
It's difficult to pinpoint the exact cause without more information or a hands-on inspection. Starting with the simpler and more common issues like vacuum leaks, spark plugs, and the MAF sensor is usually a good approach. If you're not comfortable working on your vehicle yourself, it's best to take it to a qualified mechanic for diagnosis and repair.